Polls missed bigger on the midterms than in 2016

Headline from Axios · First reported Nov 4, 12:26 PM ET (7h ago) · Updated Nov 4, 4:41 PM ET · 2 sources, 2 articles

Politics

Image: Axios

What's being reported

Democrats' midterm tsunami obscured a major polling miss: Surveys correctly anticipated a blue wave, but failed to capture its full force. Why it matters: Pollsters appear to have underestimated Democrats by a wider margin than they underestimated Republicans in 2016 or 2024 — even if they got the…

Summary from Axios. Read every outlet's version below.

Same story, different headlines

Left · AxiosPolls missed bigger on the midterms than in 2016Right · Fox NewsPollsters missed the mark again — but this time, it wasn't Republicans they underestimated

Left1

AxiosLeft-CenterHigh·Nov 4, 4:41 PM ET

Polls missed bigger on the midterms than in 2016

Center0

No center outlets in our sources have covered this yet.

Right1

Fox NewsRightLow·Nov 4, 12:26 PM ET

Pollsters missed the mark again — but this time, it wasn't Republicans they underestimated

Trump and Republicans claimed midterm polls were rigged against the GOP, but pollsters say it was Democrats who were significantly undercounted.

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